Archive for May, 2012

Economic Data Continue to Weaken

Economic Data Continue to Weaken

| May 31, 2012

The pattern of consensus expectation misses and deterioration in economic data continued today with the release of the Chicago Institute for Supply Management Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for May. Consensus expectations were for the index to remain near unchanged at 56.1, but it dropped substantially for a second month in a row to 52.7.The Chicago [...]

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Short-term Forecast for May 31, 2012

Short-term Forecast for May 31, 2012

| May 31, 2012

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Short-term Forecast for May 30, 2012

Short-term Forecast for May 30, 2012

| May 30, 2012

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Confirmed Short-term Signal: Oil Market Cycle Analysis

Confirmed Short-term Signal: Oil Market Cycle Analysis

| May 30, 2012

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Confirmed Short-term Signal: 10-year Treasury Note Yield Cycle Analysis

Confirmed Short-term Signal: 10-year Treasury Note Yield Cycle Analysis

| May 30, 2012

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Potential Short-term Signal: Stock Market Cycle Analysis

Potential Short-term Signal: Stock Market Cycle Analysis

| May 30, 2012

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Short-term Forecast for May 29, 2012

Short-term Forecast for May 29, 2012

| May 29, 2012

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Potential Short-term Signal: Gold Market Cycle Analysis

Potential Short-term Signal: Gold Market Cycle Analysis

| May 29, 2012

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Likelihood of Global Synchronized Recession Continues to Increase

Likelihood of Global Synchronized Recession Continues to Increase

| May 28, 2012

For the past several months, the most historically reliable leading data have indicated that the development of a recession in the US is likely during 2012. Coincident data in Europe have already signaled a return to economic contraction throughout the euro zone and the trend has turned lower in the US, suggesting that the global [...]

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Potential Long-term Signal: US Dollar Index Cycle Analysis

Potential Long-term Signal: US Dollar Index Cycle Analysis

| May 28, 2012

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