Archive for July, 2015

Short-term Forecast for July 31, 2015

| July 31, 2015

S&P 500 Index Daily Chart Analyses The following technical and cycle analyses provide short-term forecasts for the S&P 500 index. For intermediate-term outlooks see the latest intermediate-term forecast and for long-term outlooks see the latest long-term forecast. Technical Analysis The index closed slightly lower today, holding below previous long-term highs of the cyclical bull market […]

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Potential Short-term Signal: Oil Market Cycle Analysis

| July 31, 2015

The decline today has caused both short-term cycle oscillators to experience bearish crossovers and a bearish engulf pattern has formed on the daily chart. A close below 47.81 today would generate a cycle high signal and indicate that the alpha high (AH) of the current short-term cycle likely formed on July 29. The magnitude and […]

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Potential Short-term Signal: 10-year Treasury Note Yield Cycle Analysis

| July 31, 2015

The decline today has caused both short-term cycle oscillators to experience bearish crossovers and a bearish engulf pattern has formed on the daily chart. A close below 2.21% today would generate a cycle high signal and indicate that the latest short-term cycle high (STCH) likely formed on July 30. Cycle translation is in question. A […]

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Short-term Forecast for July 30, 2015

| July 30, 2015

S&P 500 Index Daily Chart Analyses The following technical and cycle analyses provide short-term forecasts for the S&P 500 index. For intermediate-term outlooks see the latest intermediate-term forecast and for long-term outlooks see the latest long-term forecast. Technical Analysis The index closed near unchanged today, holding below previous long-term highs of the cyclical bull market […]

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Short-term Forecast for July 29, 2015

| July 29, 2015

S&P 500 Index Daily Chart Analyses The following technical and cycle analyses provide short-term forecasts for the S&P 500 index. For intermediate-term outlooks see the latest intermediate-term forecast and for long-term outlooks see the latest long-term forecast. Technical Analysis The index closed moderately higher today, moving up toward previous long-term highs of the cyclical bull […]

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Potential Short-term Signal: Stock Market Cycle Analysis

| July 29, 2015

The advance today has caused both short-term cycle oscillators to experience bullish crossovers and a bullish engulf pattern has formed on the daily chart. A close above 2,103 on the S&P 500 index today would generate a cycle low signal and indicate that the latest short-term cycle low (STCL) likely formed on July 27. Cycle […]

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Potential Short-term Signal: 10-year Treasury Note Yield Cycle Analysis

| July 29, 2015

The advance today has caused both short-term cycle oscillators to experience bullish crossovers and a bullish engulf pattern has formed on the daily chart. A close above 2.27% today would generate a cycle low signal and indicate that the alpha low (AL) of the current short-term cycle likely formed on July 27. Cycle translation is […]

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Short-term Forecast for July 28, 2015

| July 28, 2015

S&P 500 Index Daily Chart Analyses The following technical and cycle analyses provide short-term forecasts for the S&P 500 index. For intermediate-term outlooks see the latest intermediate-term forecast and for long-term outlooks see the latest long-term forecast. Technical Analysis The index closed sharply higher today, reacting off of critical long-term support at the 200-day moving […]

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Short-term Forecast for July 27, 2015

| July 27, 2015

S&P 500 Index Daily Chart Analyses The following technical and cycle analyses provide short-term forecasts for the S&P 500 index. For intermediate-term outlooks see the latest intermediate-term forecast and for long-term outlooks see the latest long-term forecast. Technical Analysis The index closed moderately lower today, beginning another test of critical long-term support at the 200-day […]

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Stock Market Indices Exhibit Divergent Behavior

| July 25, 2015

For two months, we have been monitoring developing weakness in the historic stock market bubble that has suggested the bull market from 2009 is becoming susceptible to a long-term reversal. The short-term breakdown in early June was followed by a quick move down to long-term support at the 200-day moving average in late June. That […]

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