RSSCategory: Video

Stocks Form Short-term Low

Stocks Form Short-term Low

| October 10, 2013

This is a video update.

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Stocks Break Below Short-term Support Levels

Stocks Break Below Short-term Support Levels

| October 8, 2013

This is a video update.

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Stock Market Secular Trend Review

Stock Market Secular Trend Review

| September 28, 2013

As we note often, context plays a vital role in the development of reliable market forecasts. Short-term price behavior only has meaning when analyzed in the proper context afforded by the long-term view, so all investing and trading strategies should begin with a thorough understanding of the current secular environment. There have been five secular [...]

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Treasury Yields Vulnerable to Severe Decline

Treasury Yields Vulnerable to Severe Decline

| September 26, 2013

This is a video update.

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Stock Market Faces Important Intermediate-term Test

Stock Market Faces Important Intermediate-term Test

| September 21, 2013

This is a video update.

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Gold Breaks Below Short-term Uptrend Support

Gold Breaks Below Short-term Uptrend Support

| September 12, 2013

Gold closed sharply lower today, breaking well below support at the lower boundary of the uptrend from June. Technical indicators are moderately bearish overall on the daily chart, favoring a continuation of the decline from late August. Our Gold Currency Index (GCI), which tracks the intrinsic value of gold as an international currency, also closed [...]

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Stock Market Bubble Update

Stock Market Bubble Update

| August 14, 2013

Since early February, stock market investment risk has remained in the highest one percentile of all historical observations. The latest speculative advance during July increased risk to another historic extreme, joining a select group of four time periods that includes the long-term tops in 1929, 2000 and 2007. According to the valuation components of the [...]

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Cycle Analysis Primer

Cycle Analysis Primer

| March 10, 2011

The Basics Cycle analysis (CA) is an excellent complement to technical analysis (TA) because its focus is time, whereas TA is concerned primarily with price. The idea behind CA is that markets have internal rhythms, and if you are able to accurately identify those cycle periods, you can then forecast when and where tops, bottoms, [...]

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Commentary for February 27, 2009

Commentary for February 27, 2009

| February 27, 2009

We are living through historic times. The type of market crash that stocks are currently experiencing comes along, at most, once every generation. The S&P 500 index is now down about 53% from the peak in October, 2007; that’s over half of its value lost in a span of about 16 months. If you’re having [...]

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