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The world of financial newsletters and advice has always been a challenging one to navigate. Given that there is so much money involved in the industry, it can be difficult, if not impossible, to trust any analysis and advice that is offered. Is an analyst recommending a stock because he truly believes it will appreciate in price, or does he simply need buyers to support the liquidation of a large position? Perhaps the analyst has been compensated by the company he is touting in the form of stock. In that case, how objective can any subsequent analysis really be? Large Wall Street firms also have their reasons for slanting their research and advice a certain way. It is in their best interests to remain perpetually bullish, as they maximize their revenues when the public is in a buying mood; because bear markets tend to hit their bottom lines hard, large brokerages all but disbelieve them.
Given that there are so many potential conflicts of interest in the financial advice industry, how can the best sources be identified? Part of the answer is contained within the question: one should only consider sources that have been designed to eliminate all potential conflicts of interest. Once you can be sure that the analysis and research provided by a given source is truly objective, then you can evaluate it further based on performance. Therefore, the keys to finding an effective service are 1) designed integrity and 2) demonstrated performance. At PMI, it is our mission to provide both.
Designed Integrity
When this service was created, a great deal of thought was put into eliminating conflicts of interests. The goal was to align our interests with those of our clients as closely as possible, leaving absolutely no potential for us to ever profit at your expense. We designed this principle into our charter by setting forth the following rules:
PMI Codes of Conduct
- We will never provide recommendations on individual stocks.
- We will never accept any advertising, endorsements or any form of compensation other than subscription fees.
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In order to eliminate the possibility of our profiting at your expense, our model portfolio is restricted to investment vehicles whose performances are unaffected by our recommendations such as mutual funds and ETFs. Further, because our sole source of revenue is subscription fees, we only make money if our readers profit from our analysis and advice. Thus, we have eliminated any potential conflicts of interest by linking our success directly to yours. We sink or swim, together!
Demonstrated Performance
We have spent many years developing our investment and trading philosophies, ultimately basing our strategies on the foundation of previous greats such as Charles Dow, Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffet, to name but a few. We take a scientific approach to market analysis that relies upon statistical modeling and we have developed software that applies our analysis process in a highly efficient, well-defined manner. By our measures, the system that we use for characterizing the markets and shaping our investment and trading decisions has been very successful over the years.
The software that we created to analyze long-term trends in the stock market has successfully identified every secular trend change since the crash in 1929, and 90% of the cyclical trend changes. In other words, we have correctly predicted nearly every major change in stock market direction over the past 80 years. Additionally, our market forecasting process, based on statistical analysis of the most likely scenarios, has produced reliable outlooks over the past decade, and some of the highlights are listed below.
- In January 2000, our Secular Trend Score predicted the start of the current secular bear market in US stocks several months in advance.
- In May 2005, our Gold Currency Index predicted a massive rally in gold one month in advance.
- In August 2006, we predicted that the top of the US housing market was in place.
- In January 2008, we anticipated the start of the next cyclical downtrend that would eventually develop into a market crash.
- In March 2009, we predicted the start of the massive cyclical rally following the 2008 market crash.
- In September 2009, our Gold Currency Index predicted a long-term breakout in gold.
- In April 2010, we anticipated the violent correction in May 2010.
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Our model investment portfolio was created at the start of the secular bear market in 2000, and it has outperformed the S&P 500 index by a wide margin since then.
PMI Model Investment Portfolio Performance
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Inception Date:
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January 3, 2000
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Compound Annual Return Since Inception:
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11.8%
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Total Return Since Inception:
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224.4%
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S&P 500 Total Return Since Inception:
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-24.3%
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Our long-term trading system targets stock market cyclical trends and has also performed very well. It has been evaluated using historical market data going back to 1940 and produced profitable trades 87% of the time. The cumulative return of the system if all trades had been executed in succession--assuming the reinvestment of all dividends and the application of the highest capital gains rate at the close of each profitable trade--would have been 232,084%. In terms of portfolio assets, if you had started trading using this system in June 1942 with $10,000, you would now have approximately $23,218,422.
PMI Cyclical Trend Trading System Performance
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Long trades:
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16
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Profitable trades:
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13
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Average gain:
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97%
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Losing trades:
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2
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Average loss:
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-5%
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Trades closed for no gain:
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1
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Short trades:
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12
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Profitable trades:
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11
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Average gain:
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18%
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Trades closed for no gain:
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1
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We also maintain a library of client testimonials that provides feedback from our existing subscribers.
What We Offer
At PMI, it is our goal to enable you to do the following:
- Understand the current state of the markets, and make accurate, well-reasoned judgments about their future movements over short-term, intermediate-term and long-term time frames. We provide daily, weekly and monthly outlooks for stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities and gold using proven computer models that base their predictions on technical and statistical analysis. Our Commentary area is dedicated to this purpose. Click here to read a sample daily commentary.
- Develop optimally allocated investment portfolios that maximize long-term profits and minimize risk in every foreseeable market environment. All of the analysis and educational tools necessary to accomplish this goal are organized in the Investing section.
- Execute long-term swing trades in the S&P 500 index by identifying highly probable cyclical inflection points that provide the maximum opportunity for profit with minimal risk. The cyclical trend analysis tools necessary to accomplish this goal are provided in the Trading section.
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Subscription Fees
All new subscribers are offered a no obligation, one month trial membership for $1.00. Subscription renewal fees are as follows.
- One Month Subscription: $19.95
- Three Month Subscription: $53.95 ($17.98 per month: Save 10%)
- Six Month Subscription: $95.95 ($15.99 per month: Save 20%)
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We provide an average of 27 updates per month (22 daily commentaries, four weekly reviews and one monthly big picture) with proven, reliable forecasts and actionable information, so even at the most expensive subscription rate of $19.95, you are only paying about $0.74 per update. We believe that if you try our service for a month you will find it is worth every penny.
Begin your trial membership or renew a previous subscription.
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