RSSCategory: Market Update

Stock Market Struggles at Recent Long-term High

| October 5, 2019

The decline this week indicates that the second half cycle high (HCH) of the currently intermediate-term cycle likely formed during the week ending September 13. The latest HCH formed at the same level as the previous HCH in July, suggesting that the bull market is struggling to advance to new highs. A rebound and move […]

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Stock Market Experiences Key Reversal

| August 3, 2019

A cycle high signal was generated this week, indicating that the intermediate-term cycle high (ITCH) of the intermediate-term cycle that began in June likely formed during the week ending July 26. This is a potentially key reversal that could lead to a return to the low in May. A quick rebound followed by a move […]

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Stock Market Forms Important Intermediate-term Low

| June 8, 2019

A cycle low signal was nearly generated this week, indicating that a new intermediate-term cycle has likely begun. The relatively small magnitude of the decline following the high in April suggests that the uptrend from December will likely continue. Intermediate-term cycle direction is in question. A quick reversal followed by an extended decline phase that […]

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Violent Stock Market Rally Finally Ends

| May 11, 2019

A cycle high signal was generated this week, indicating that the intermediate-term cycle high (ITCH) of the intermediate-term cycle from December likely formed during the week ending May 3. The extreme nature of the preceding advance suggests that additional violent moves will likely develop during the next several months. Intermediate-term cycle direction is in question. […]

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Potential Formation of Intermediate-term High in Stock Market

| March 9, 2019

We are 11 weeks into the rally phase of the intermediate-term cycle that began in December. The intermediate-term cycle high (ITCH) of the current cycle may have formed this week, although we would need to see additional weakness next week to confirm that development. The magnitude of the last decline phase signals the likely transition […]

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Stock Market Begins Potentially Violent Rally

| December 29, 2018

An intermediate-term low may have formed in the stock market this week, although we would need to see additional strength next week to confirm that development. Given the extreme nature of the decline from the high in September, the developing oversold reaction will likely be equally violent in nature. The magnitude of the current decline […]

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Stock Market Confirms Formation of Intermediate-term Low

| November 10, 2018

A cycle low signal was nearly generated this week, indicating that the latest intermediate-term cycle low (ITCL) likely formed during the week ending November 2. We are 2 weeks into the rally phase of the intermediate-term cycle from early November. Intermediate-term cycle direction remains in question. An extended rally phase that moves well above the […]

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Stock Market Forms Key Intermediate-term High

| October 6, 2018

A cycle high signal was generated this week, indicating that the second half cycle high (HCH) of the intermediate-term cycle from March likely formed during the week ending September 21. We are 2 weeks into the second decline phase of the current intermediate-term cycle. The rally from March failed to move up to a meaningful […]

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Stock Market Attempts to Form Important Intermediate-term Low

| April 14, 2018

A cycle low signal was nearly generated this week, indicating that the half cycle low (HCL) of the current intermediate-term cycle likely formed during the week ending March 23. We are 3 weeks into the second rally phase of the intermediate-term cycle from February. Following the violent breakdown in January, the stock market has attempted […]

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Stock Market Intermediate-term Low Nearly Confirmed

| September 12, 2017

After the final week of August, our computer models identified the potential formation of an intermediate-term low in the stock market. After consolidating last week, the S&P 500 index has moved up to a new long-term high this week, indicating that the predicted intermediate-term low is likely in place. A weekly close above 2,477 on […]

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