RSSCategory: Market Update

Yield Rally on Verge of Breakdown

| April 8, 2017

In March, our computer models predicted the formation of an intermediate-term high in the 10-year Treasury Note yield. Since then, the 10-year yield has moved lower and this week the decline began a test of the last intermediate-term cycle low (ITCL) in February at 2.31%. The strong rally from 2016 has now formed two intermediate-term […]

Continue Reading

Stocks Approach Intermediate-term High as Market Internals Signal Caution

| February 11, 2017

As we observed recently, the current stock market bubble is one of the largest of the past 100 years. Further, at a current duration of nearly eight years, the cyclical uptrend from 2009 is long overdue for termination. Although the S&P 500 index has moved up to new all-time highs, the advance from 2016 is […]

Continue Reading

Stock Market Bubble Now Second Largest of Past 100 Years

| January 21, 2017

Context plays a vital role in the development of reliable market forecasts. Short-term price behavior only has meaning when analyzed in the proper context afforded by the long-term view, so all investing and trading strategies should begin with a thorough understanding of the big picture. The cyclical bull market in stocks that began in early […]

Continue Reading

Stock Market Bull Faces Important Test

| January 14, 2017

On January 3, our computer models identified the likely formation of a short-term low in the stock market. The latest short-term cycle low (STCL) developed as predicted, but the initial rally phase of the new cycle has struggled to advance since the last week, suggesting that a short-term reversal has become more likely. A quick […]

Continue Reading

Annual Performance Review for 2016

| January 14, 2017

Every January, we conduct a comprehensive review of our forecasting and signal performance during the previous year. Accountability is very important to us and this performance review is another way for us to demonstrate our commitment to providing you with a highly reliable service. The audit process itself is admittedly tedious and time-consuming, but we […]

Continue Reading

Stock Market Rally Surges to New High

| January 7, 2017

In early November, our computer models predicted the formation of an intermediate-term low following a sharp decline from the previous long-term high in August. Since then, The S&P 500 index has trended sharply higher for two months. The move up to new long-term highs in December has reconfirmed the cyclical bull market in stocks and […]

Continue Reading

Stock Market Continues Consolidation near Bull Market Highs

| June 23, 2016

On June 17, our computer models identified the potential formation of the beta low (BL) of the current short-term cycle. A cycle low signal was then generated early this week, confirming that the second rally phase of the current cycle is in progress. The stock market has been moving sideways since early April, suggesting that […]

Continue Reading

Stock Market Tests Long-term High

| June 6, 2016

On May 24, our computer models predicted the formation of the latest short-term cycle low (STCL). Since then, the S&P 500 index has moved higher, approaching previous long-term highs of the cyclical bull market from 2009. The stock market has been moving sideways since the previous cycle began in early April, suggesting that short-term direction […]

Continue Reading

Stock Market Retreats from Bull Market Highs

| April 29, 2016

Last week, our computer models predicted the likely formation of the alpha high (AH) of the current short-term cycle in the stock market. Since then, the S&P 500 index has moved lower, approaching the short-term cycle low (STCL) that formed in early April. The move down toward the previous STCL during the last 7 sessions […]

Continue Reading

Stock Market Continues Rebound off of Intermediate-term Low

| March 5, 2016

In January, our computer models predicted the likely formation of an intermediate-term low in the stock market. After retesting that low in February, the S&P 500 index has advanced strongly during the last 3 weeks, confirming that the latest intermediate-term rally is in progress. Following the transition to a bearish translation in August of last […]

Continue Reading